Nominee Trump: Now What?

In light of his blowout win over Ted Cruz in Indiana, Donald Trump will be the Republican Party's presidential nominee, barring some unforeseen development or act of God.  Cruz played every card in his deck in a desperate bid to stave off his rival in the Hoosier state, and lost.  Badly.  Out of options, he has exited the race (with John Kasich on his way out, too), clearing the way for Trump to capture the party's crown with little drama in Cleveland.  A few thoughts on these developments, and on what comes next:

(1) Congratulations to the Trump campaign, which has defied all expectations -- including, reportedly, their own. When the celebrity billionaire descended that Trump Tower escalator months ago, he was received by many as an amusing sideshow. A joke. He proceeded to deliver a rambling speech to the assembled reporters and paid actors posing as supporters, during which he was briefly interrupted by walk-off music, when the tech team mistakenly thought he was finished. A speck of spittle formed in the corner of his mouth as he uncorked a grievance-driven stream of consciousness that previewed the broad-strokes messaging that would ultimately blaze his path to the GOP nomination. At the time, I confidently and wrongly predicted on Fox News that there was no chance he'd become the Republican standard-bearer. As Trump rose in the polls and sustained his lead over a span of many summer weeks, I became disabused of that notion. The rest of the Republican field, with the notable exception of Scott Walker, never woke up to this reality until it was too late. Many labored in denial over critical months, attacking each other under the self-serving and woefully mistaken theory that Trump would eventually implode. But when mocking John McCain's POW status, ridiculing a disabled journalist, insulting Carly Fiorina's physical appearance, floating unhinged conspiracy theories after losing Iowa, and loudly siding with Code Pink and over George W. Bush (among countless daily kerfuffles and insults) all failed to crush his candidacy, it should have been abundantly clear that Trump was well on his way to executing a hostile (if temporary) takeover of the Republican Party. Some of us have resisted that outcome every step of the way. We've failed. A plurality of GOP voters decided that come hell or high water, he should be the guy this year. And now he is.

(2) Trump remains virtually unelectable.  His unfavorable ratings are the highest ever measured for a major party nominee. He is particularly unacceptable to women, young voters and people of color -- who represent a majority of voters, the largest age-based voting demographic, and America's ascendant electorate, respectively.  The controversial mogul has trailed Mrs. Clinton head-to-head in virtually every poll for months on end, often by double digits. Here's a fresh data point out this morning:

This comes on the heels of a Florida poll that gives Clinton a very similar lead -- which, in fairness, may prove to be an outlier. A string of state-level surveys suggest that with Trump as the GOP nominee, Hillary Clinton is well-positioned to make plays for reddish battleground states, as well as some dyed-in-the-wool Republican enclaves. I've argued that Trump vs. Clinton polling is useful at this stage in the race because both candidates have virtually universal name recognition.  Everyone knows who they are, and almost everyone has an opinion about each of them.  Also, head-to-head polling historically begins to become predictive in April.  It's now early May.  Donald Trump is a heavy, heavy general election underdog.

(3) For what it's worth, I predict that in the coming weeks and months, Trump will close the polling gap with Clinton a bit.  Partisan tribalism is a powerful thing, and as more Republican-leaning voters make peace with their unlikely, flawed nominee, they'll rally around the team's flag.  This will especially be true as many of these voters experience routine whiffs of the fetid stench of Hillary Clinton's unaccountable, arrogant, deceitful anti-charisma.  I also predict that a sizable percentage of conservative voters will never reconcile themselves to Trump's candidacy -- due to an insurmountable blend of ideological, character and temperamental objections.  For full disclosure, I place myself in this camp.  We #NeverTrump holdouts will probably prove statistically insignificant, though, at least as compared to the other electorate-driven factors that are likely to doom Trump in November: A yawning gender gap, a massive, Obamaesque mobilization on the center-Left, the flight of independents, and the country's shifting demographics.

(4) In my second bullet point above, I referred to Trump as "virtually" unelectable.  Why not flat-out unelectable?  My hedge arises from a few factors: First, humility.  Having been wrong about Trump initially (despite a serious course correction relatively early on), I'm self-aware enough to recognize that nobody has a special crystal ball; myself least of all.  My general election analysis is driven by solid, consistent data, but it's possible that the data could change.  How? My second hedge: Events.  If Mrs. Clinton is indicted for her outrageous, national security-compromising email scheme, and if there's some sort of major terrorist attack (God forbid) on US soil, things could get awfully unpredictable in a hurry.  The third thing going for Trump is the profound and enduring unpopularity of his opponent.  Yes, he's trailed her on almost every key metric for quite some time, but she is still widely disliked and distrusted.  And she often has terrible political instincts.  As loathsome and amoral as he is, Trump can also be compelling and charming.  She shares the former flaws and lacks the latter qualities. Keep in mind, this is a woman who lost Indiana to a rumpled Socialist who has all but given up on winning the Democratic nomination.

(5) Regardless of one's feelings about Trump -- and I've made mine crystal clear -- his presence in the general election will solidify 2016's historical status as a memorable, wild, and possibly epochal cycle.  The race will be horrifying and depressing at times, but it will be exceedingly entertaining at others.  Engagement and interest will run very high, and very hot.  It will be fascinating to see whether the coming grudge match between two broadly-despised former friends will ultimately drive turnout up or down.  Either way, political scientists, media critics and historians will be writing and talking about this presidential election for generations.  Buckle up. Is Now a Pro-Hillary Site

One thing that has made the 2016 presidential election unique is the amount of URL trolling. While Carly Fiorina turned it into an art form, it was Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) who was the first victim of this decidedly-21st century form of a prank. Cruz had failed to secure the domain "," as it had previously been purchased by another man named Ted Cruz--one who was not exactly eye-to-eye with the senator on political issues. The page initially displayed a pro-immigration reform message. (Candidate Ted Cruz used as an official site.)

Now, following last night's suspension of Sen. Cruz's campaign, it appears as though has been updated:

Rough, but I guess that's one way to cram in one final Cruz joke as the campaign wound down.

As for that other bizarre Ted Cruz meme:

What a world we live in.

Progress? DC Will Have A Gun Range And Store Open Next Year

Washington, D.C. is a forbidden zone for America’s gun owners. While the city has accepted that they must give their residents some form of carry rights, it’s still insanely stringent. It’s a may issue city, which means that carry permits can de denied for arbitrary reasons, and it’s riddled with justifiable need clauses. Yet, for the city’s gun owners, there may be a space where they can exercise their Second Amendment rights next year. A new gun range and store is in the works, according to Stephen Gutowksi of the Washington Free Beacon:

DC Gun Range and DC Guns and Ammo will be located under the same roof at a site on Queens Chapel Road in the city’s northeast quadrant. They will be a short distance from the National Arboretum in a neighborhood that features a number of restaurants and nightclubs.


Leon Spears, the first and one of the few people certified by the Metro Police Department as a gun carry instructor, is hoping to change that. Spears owns the company developing the range and gun store. Despite hostility to guns from many city officials, Spears said the government has not yet tried to stop his project.

“The government hasn’t really given me any flack,” Spears told the Washington Free Beacon. “It hasn’t been an easy process but it hasn’t been difficult. It’s just tedious.”

The gun range will house 30 shooting lanes, with 24 open to the public on a daily basis and the other six reserved for private instruction. The facility will offer rentals, gun lockers, classrooms for training, a café, an observation area, self-sustaining solar power, private gated parking with special spaces for electric cars, and a lounge area. “It’s going to be more like a club feel,” Spears said. “It’s not going to be … where the average Joe is going to feel uncomfortable, but it’s not going to be a hole in the wall place by any means. I’m just going to try to make DC proud. That’s really the goal.”

Operating a range that’s pleasing to the community is a top priority for Spears. “We’re going to do it up,” he said. “I don’t want people’s expectations to be disappointed. I want people to have pride. This is our range. We don’t have to leave the city anymore.”

Spears said the range will be a one-stop shop for law-abiding gun owners in the District, and will employ as many as 20 people. “We’re going to be a gun store and a range,” Spears said. “There’ll be gun sales, rentals, transfers, and ammo sales. We’re going to be about a 20-employee operation when fully staffed.”

Again, in anti-gun havens, progress will be in baby steps. Carry rights were not honored in D.C., now they are—and a gun range and store seems to be coasting along in its process for the grand opening next year. Regarding shall issue carry laws in the District, that’s the goal. But for now, let’s celebrate the fact that a gun range is projected to open to accommodate the city’s residents who want to exercise their gun rights.

Report: Obama Wants Refugee Screening Time To Be Reduced to Just Three Months

Last year FBI Director James Comey and Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson admitted during congressional testimony the United States does not have the ability to properly vet refugees coming into the country from terrorism hot spots like Iraq and Syria. 

Despite this uncomfortable fact, the Obama administration has maintained that the U.S. refugee screening system is extensive, taking two years and a number of background checks with thorough vetting before an individual is granted refugee status or asylum in America. The administration vowed to bring in at least 10,000 new Syrian refugees in 2016. 

"The United States, at the direction of the United States, has played a leading role in addressing the dire humanitarian crisis in the Middle East and North Africa," White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest announced in September. "One thing that the United States can do is to begin to let more Syrian refugees into the United States. This year, this fiscal year that will end this month, the United States is on track to take in about 1500 Syrian refugees. The president has directed his team to scale up that number next year and he's informed his team he would like them to accept, at least make preparations, for 10,000 refugees."

Now, the administration is changing it's position and a report from the Free Beacon's Adam Kredo shows President Obama is pushing for refugee screening time to be reduced to just three months. 

An Obama administration plan to resettle a greater number of foreign refugees in the United States by expediting the screening process is drawing concern from Capitol Hill, where lawmakers are warning that the administration is not capable of properly screening these individuals for ties to terrorism.

The Obama administration has committed to bring at least 10,000 Syrian refugees onto American soil in fiscal year 2016 by accelerating security screening procedures from 18-24 months to around three months, according to sources who spoke to the Washington Free Beacon.

Obama administration officials told the Free Beacon that they remain committed to the plan, despite warnings from the FBI and other law enforcement officials who say the federal government is not equipped to properly vet these individuals within that timeframe.

ISIS leaders and propagandists have repeatedly stated the terror organization is exploiting the unorganized, unvetted refugee stream to send fighters into Europe and the United States. They're recruiting people to their cause in European refugee camps. At least one of the Paris attackers posed as a refugee in order to get into France on a fake passport before killing 129 people. 

House Homeland Security Chairman Michael McCaul called on the Obama administration to suspend refugee plans months ago and long before this recent development. 

"Leaders from the FBI, National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC), and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) have repeatedly indicated to my Committee that we lack the on-the-ground intelligence necessary to thoroughly vet Syrian refugees seeking to resettle here," McCaul wrote in a letter to President Obama in November. "I call on you to temporarily suspend the admission of all additional Syrian refugees into the United States pending a full review of the Syrian refugee resettlement program." 

"Our nation has a proud tradition of welcoming refugees into our country, but in this particular car the high-threat environment demands that we move forward with great caution in order to protect the American people and to prevent terrorists from reaching our shores," McCaul continued. 

The FBI and Homeland Security refugee vetting systems continue to have major gaps.

It Looks As Though John Kasich Suspending His Campaign

UPDATE: Wall Street Journal is also reporting that Kasich is out.

Original Post

Last night, after a crushing defeat in Indiana, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) bowed out of the race and suspended his campaign. Now, it's beginning to look like Ohio Gov. John Kasich will be doing the same.

Kasich has canceled his events today, and is planning on making a statement at 5 p.m. It's expected that this will be the suspension of his campaign for president.

Kasich remained in fourth place in the delegate race as of last night, despite the fact that there were only three candidates remaining in the race. Florida Senator Marco Rubio still had more delegates than Kasich, despite suspending his own campaign over a month ago.

Looking ahead, things weren't too great for Kasich. He was polling extremely poorly in West Virginia.

Kasich's exit means that Donald Trump is now officially the presumptive Republican nominee for president.

This post will be updated when information is available.

Navy Admiral: Russia Should Stop Buzzing Military Ships and Aircraft

For the past two weeks, Russian jets have been buzzing U.S. naval ships and aircraft in the Baltics which has led to escalating tensions and a concerning silence from U.S. officials.

On Monday, Adm. John M. Richardson told reporters at the Pentagon that, "My hope is that we can stop this sort of activity." 

"I don't think the Russians are trying to provoke an incident. I think they're trying to send a signal," he said. "I think it's pretty clear that they are wanting to let us know that they see that we are up there in the Baltic."

Russian SU-27s conducted a barrel rolls on Friday over a U.S. Air Force RC-135 that was flying a reconnaissance mission above the Baltic Sea. In April, two Russian jets flew dangerously close to the USS Donald Cook in the Baltic Sea.

Richardson said the actions increase the chance of a "tactical miscalculation," but the U.S. would tamp down any rise in tensions between the two countries.  "We look for sort of a normalization there," he said.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov last week defended the actions of Russian warplanes that buzzed the USS Donald Cook, saying the pilots decided to take a look at the U.S. Navy destroyer "from a safe distance." 

Russian representative said after the destroyer incident that, "This is about attempts to exercise military pressure on Russia.  We will take all necessary measures, precautions, to compensate for these attempts to use military force."

Fired Employee Kills Man at Texas Transportation Center

A disgruntled employee has opened fire and killed a man at a Knight Transportation office in Katy, Texas on Wednesday morning, before killing himself. The Harris County Sheriff Ron Hickman told the media they have little else to report.

"Other than he was terminated, we don't know anything about him," Hickman said. "He parked right outside the building and came right in."

The transportation company in west Houston is located near Franz Elementary and Morton Ranch High schools, both of which have been placed on lockdown.

The local news station ABC13 has a SkyEye camera currently circling the school. 

We will provide more information as it becomes available. 

Carter Disagrees With Obama's Assessment, Says ISIS Fight 'Far From Over'

Defense Secretary Ashton Carter apparently does not share President Obama’s promising assessment of the fight against ISIS. The commander-in-chief recently said that our battle against the terror cell was accelerating and that we have made important strides against them. For example, in December, Obama admitted more progress needed to be made, but quickly pointed out that U.S. airstrikes resulted in the terror group losing 40 percent of territory it had claimed in Iraq. In the same speech, he told ISIL leaders that they “cannot hide” and the military was coming for them next, suggesting some kind of end was in sight.

At a ministerial meeting in Stuttgart, Germany on Wednesday, Carter took a much different tone.

"While we have gathered momentum since our ministerial in Brussels, this fight is far from over," Carter said.

Carter’s warning is perhaps most aptly noted by the death of Charles Keating IV, the 31-year-old Navy SEAL who this week became the third U.S. serviceman to die fighting ISIS.

“We are putting people at risk every day,” Carter said, before addressing the White House’s recent announcement to send 250 more troops to Syria. While those troops will primarily be advising local forces on the ground, the defense secretary noted some combat cannot be avoided.

Will the president be as candid as Carter in his next foreign policy address?

Despite Superdelegate Deficit, Sanders Will 'Continue to Fight Uphill'

What more does Bernie Sanders have to do to prove he deserves to stay in the 2016 race? He soundly won Indiana Tuesday night, yet the media continues to call Hillary Clinton the "presumptive nominee" without blinking.

This is because the imbalanced superdelegate totals offer Sanders no path forward. Although Sanders has won several primary contests, Clinton has 520 superdelegates to his meager 39.

Well, emboldened by his Hoosier State win, Sanders told CNN that he is not going anywhere.

"It's an uphill fight for us. But you know what? I started this campaign 60 points behind Secretary Clinton. We've been fighting uphill from day one," the Vermont independent told CNN's Jake Tapper and Dana Bash in an interview after winning Indiana's primary. "We will continue to fight uphill and I think we still have a narrow path toward victory."

Sanders and his supporters have often voiced their disapproval of the Democratic primary process, calling it a “rigged” system that favors the establishment candidate. Party officials, of course, insist they have no idea what he’s talking about.

On Fox News Wednesday morning, Alan Colmes argued that Sanders has made Clinton a better candidate, pushing her to the left on several issues. This kind of pressure, Colmes insisted, will help her reach millennials in the general election – a demographic she has since failed to attract.

First, however, she needs to hold off that pesky and persistent Vermont senator.

It Might Soon Be Legal To Hunt Grizzly Bears

Grizzly bears may no longer be listed as an endangered species, which is opening the door to allowing them to be legally hunted. The number of grizzlies in the wild has increased rapidly since the 1970s, and now scientists are considering changing the animal's status. This, however, is still quite controversial.

Now scientists are at a crossroads: Some biologists say that the grizzlies’ numbers are robust and that it is time to remove the most stringent protections for the bears, “delisting” them under the species act, which among other consequences means they would probably be hunted again for sport. That prospect disturbs even those in favor of lifting the restrictions.

Citing the grizzly’s recovery in the wild country in and around Yellowstone, the Fish and Wildlife Service tried to delist the bear in 2007. Environmentalists sued, and a federal court forced officials to redo an analysis of the future of the whitebark pine tree, whose nuts are an important food for the bears.

It'll be curious to see how this plays out. Stay tuned...

UN Inserts Itself in Flint Water Investigation, Says Racism, Class Discrimination to Blame

The United Nations may weigh in on the investigation of Flint’s contaminated drinking water after human rights experts in Switzerland said racism and class discrimination played major roles in the crisis.

The U.N. human rights office in Geneva called on authorities to draw up a “human rights complaint strategy” to address the crisis, a day ahead of a planned visit by President Obama to the Michigan city to talk with residents and local officials.

Experts in the U.N. office say the human rights complaint could be lodged in order to ensure that other U.S. municipalities don’t make the same mistakes that local, state and federal officials made in handling Flint’s water supply needs, which has left residents dealing with the health impact of lead-contaminated water.

“Decisions would never have been made in the high-handed and cavalier manner that occurred in Flintif the affected population group was well-off or overwhelmingly white,” Philip Alston, the U.N.Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, said in a statement Tuesday.

“Elected officials would have been much more careful, there would have been a timely response to complaints rather than summary dismissals of concerns, and official accountability would have been insisted upon much sooner,” he continued.

“The fact that Flint residents have not had regular access to safe drinking water and sanitation since April 2014 is a potential violation of their human rights,” said Leo Heller, the U.N.’s top expert on the right to safe drinking water. “Serious problems reported on water quality, particularly high concentrations of lead, are also concerning human rights issues.”

Gov. Rick Snyder is hoping that President Obama will drink Flint’s water during his visit to prove to residents that it’s safe to drink when filtered.

“We are hopeful the president will drink the water in Flint, to help reinforce Gov. Snyder’s actions and the EPA’s message that filtered Flint water is safe to drink,” Snyder spokeswoman Anna Heaton told The Huffington Post. 

Unfiltered water is still not safe to drink, however. 

Trump: I'll Probably Go 'Political Route' For My VP Pick

When Sen. Ted Cruz decided to announce Carly Fiorina as his running mate last week, many began wondering who Trump would choose as his. Now, with the Texas senator out of the race and the real estate mogul the presumptive GOP nominee, speculation over his vice presidential pick is mounting.

While Trump still refuses to name names just yet, noting that it’s “too soon,” he did say on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” Wednesday that he will “probably go the political route.”

“I think a lot of people are talking about certain names, and certainly those are the names we're thinking of, maybe the obvious ones, but I will say I probably will go the political route,” he said. 

Given that he has the business talents, Trump said that picking someone political would help him navigate areas he’s not as well versed in.

His pick, he explained, will be “somebody that can help me with legislation and somebody that can help me get things passed and somebody who’s been friends with senators and congressman so we don’t have to go the executive order route as much as Obama did where he can’t get anything approved.”

Some of the names pundits have put forth as possible vice presidential picks include New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Sen. Marco Rubio, Sen. Jeff Sessions, New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, among others.

Humans of New York Features Megyn Kelly And Her Husband

Blog/art project Humans of New York, which profiles people--both celebrities and average Joes--in or around New York City, published a cute story on Instagram about Megyn Kelly and her husband, Douglas Brunt.

The story, narrated by Brunt, details the couple's first date and first kiss--which were under some pretty unusual circumstances. The picture of the couple was taken at the Met Gala.

A very sweet story. It's nice to see the "human side" of media figures and other celebrities.

Kasich Campaign Vows to Stay in Race

Almost everyone has accepted that Donald Trump is the presumptive GOP nominee after Tuesday’s win in Indiana. Everyone, that is, except Gov. John Kasich.

In a Facebook note posted on Tuesday, the Ohio governor’s campaign said it has no plans to bow out of the race unless Trump reaches 1,237 bound delegates before the convention.

“Our strategy has been and continues to be one that involves winning the nomination at an open convention,” the note states, pointing out the differences between Kasich’s “positive, inclusive approach” and Trump’s “disrespectful ramblings.”

The note goes on to provide five reasons why Kasich is not giving up: he can win a contested convention; he is the only Republican that can win in November; he offers the country a “refreshing choice of hope, inclusion and conservative reform”; since the future of America and the GOP are at stake, he’s not giving up; and finally, he has the qualifications needed to be the next president.

“This is the stark choice that confronts Republicans between now and when a nominee is chosen in Cleveland. Gov. Kasich looks forward to continuing to compete with Donald Trump in the upcoming primaries through California on June 7th,” the note concludes. 

It's On: Hillary Clinton Immediately Begins Fundraising Off Trump's Win In Indiana

Folks, 2016 primary season is pretty much over, and Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have emerged as the prohibitive favorites for the Democratic and Republican nominations for president respectively. Trump trounced Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) earlier Tuesday night. The Hoosier State was the last stand for the Cruz campaign, which had recently picked Carly Fiorina to be Cruz’s running mate days prior to Election Day. It was a Hail Mary that failed. Now, Hillary Clinton is tweeting that Trump is the “presumptive” nominee, and has actively begun fundraising off his win.

Clinton is banking heavily on the overwhelming demographic advantage Democrats have heading into November, but things have been unpredictable since Trump has entered the race. In a crowded field of Republicans who were either in politics or business, all of whom with much more political experience than Trump, who thought this bombastic and capricious billionaire could steamroll everyone with such ease in a matter of months. He’s spent almost nothing compared to his rivals, while earning $2 billion on free media. Certainly his Republican challengers did not, many of whom not having serious opposition research divisions to look into the real estate magnate since they thought he would fizzle out. That wasn’t the case.

Yes, Trump has appalling numbers with women voters. If they maintain, this election will be a disaster for Republicans, some already think it is with his pathway now cleared to clinch 1,237 delegates. But all is not lost. Given the unpredictable nature of this election year, former Mike Huckabee communications director, Hogan Gidley, said a week ago that in the past three instances where Trump and Clinton went after one another—Trump emerged as the victor. He admitted that when he invoked the women’s card to attack Clinton after dominating the I-95 primaries was a bad move. It’s gender-specific, and plays into the misogyny games liberals love to play with conservatives. But saying that Hillary is “crooked” doesn’t fall into that category. In fact, he noted that’s how many Americans feel about her, including Sanders supporters. Lastly, when Hillary came after Trump for being sexist, Hidley said Trump responded by saying she some nerve attacking him for that, given her marriage to Bill. The whole conversation then turned into whether Bill Clinton was “fair game” to attack this cycle.

The man knows how to work the media, while Clinton knows how to avoid them like the plague. When it comes to fighting Trump, she can’t do that.

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Ted Cruz Ends Presidential Ambitions, But Declares He’ll Continue To Defend The Constitution

As Christine noted earlier this evening, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), the conservative’s conservative, has ended his presidential ambitions after devastating defeat to billionaire Donald Trump. Trump had momentum after his decisive victories in the Acela Corridor primaries, which only further increased his significant delegate lead.

As former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina took the stage to introduce the senator, she said that both she and Cruz had “fallen in love” with the Hoosier state.

This is a man who favors substance over sloganeering. Who favors respect over insult. Who favors positive policy solutions over hand waving,” she added.

Upon taking the stage, Cruz delivered his usual anecdote about his family’s roots, the story about his father’s very humble beginnings, and how the dividends reaped from fleeing Cuba was allowing him to cast a ballot for his son running for the highest political office in the land. Then, came the bombshell, where the conservative fighter said, “from the beginning I've said that I would continue on as long as there was a viable path to victory. Tonight, I'm sorry to say, it appears that path has been foreclosed.”

‘‘Together, we left it all on the field of Indiana. We gave it everything we’ve got, but the voters chose another path, and so with a heavy heart but with boundless optimism for the long-term future of our nation, we are suspending our campaign,” he added.

Yet, just because Cruz’s presidential ambitions are over, does not mean he’s finished fighting for liberty and constitutional principles.

“I am not suspending our fight for liberty, to defend the Constitution,” he said. “I will continue this fight with all of my strength and all of my ability.”

The state seemed tailor made for Cruz, given the large evangelical population and scores of high-income, college educated conservatives that break for Cruz, though Trump also had strength with the state’s white working class voter bloc. Moreover, Trump, according to ABC News early exits, showed that 70 percent of Republican voters were worried about the economic heath and direction of the country; Trump tends to do well in states where that level of dissatisfaction is high. Also, 60 percent of Indiana voters wanted a political outsider, another check in the Trump column (via FiveThirtyEight):

In many respects, Indiana should be a terrific state for the Cruz/Carly Fiorina pre-ticket. Indiana has the highest share of evangelical Protestants of any state yet to vote — 31 percent — which is 9 percentage points higher than in Wisconsin, the site of Cruz’s last triumph. In the 2012 GOP primary, the state’s GOP voters toppled Sen. Richard Lugar, a 36-year moderate fixture, in favor of Cruz’s fellow Tea Party purist Richard Mourdock. (Though Mourdock lost the general election to a Democrat, Joe Donnelly.) And like Wisconsin, Indiana has a robust population of well-educated, high-income conservatives — types that have favored Cruz — particularly in the northern Indianapolis suburbs.

However, here’s why Indiana could be an even better Trump state: It boasts the highest share of manufacturing jobs in the country. From steel mills on the shores of Lake Michigan to the medical device hub of Warsaw, to Elkhart, the “RV capital of the world,” Indiana’s blue-collar workforce — and its blue-collar retirees — are machine-made for Trump.

And they stood firm with Trump when it came time to cast their ballots. CNN  added that the Cruz campaign also made some strategic mistakes, like not sending Fiorina to key counties to shore up support in the final days leading up to the primary.

The Cruz campaign's biggest strategic error in Indiana could prove to be its decision to keep vice presidential pick Carly Fiorina -- who stood a much better chance of appealing to suburban women who make up a huge chunk of that doughnut county electorate -- with Cruz in urban and rural areas, rather than sending her to Hamilton, Boone and Hendricks counties, where she could have helped solidify Cruz's support.

In the end, Trump won evangelicals, and pretty much every other demographic.

So, for Cruz, his presidential train ended in Indiana, but he’s still an elected official from Texas. And he’s still got a job to do, especially if Hillary is elected in November.

Trump Tastes Sweet Victory, Says Cruz Was A Tough Competitor

In what appears to be the end of the 2016 Republican election cycle, Donald Trump has won the Indiana primary in a landslide and forced Ted Cruz out of the race leaving a clear path to victory. 

The GOP party chair admitted that it is time to coalesce around the frontrunner.

Trump started his speech by thanking his family.

"We are going to make America great again," Trump said.

"We've been losing all the time... we're going to start winning again, big league," he continued.

Trump spoke about the tremendous amount of money spent on negative ads against him.  "The people aren't buying it," he said.  

"We are going to build up our military bigger better and stronger than before, it's the cheapest thing we can do."

He called Cruz a "hell of a competitor" and went on to thank all those who endorsed him over the course of the campaign.

"You will be so proud of your country very soon," he said in closing. 

Reince: Time to Unite Behind Trump

In case you didn't hear, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is officially out of the 2016 election. As such, pundits have already started referring to Donald Trump as the "presumptive" Republican nominee - including Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus.

Priebus' use of the #NeverClinton hashtag indicates a major shift in the election and demands the GOP now focus solely on the assumed Democratic nominee.

Trump has had a love-hate relationship with the RNC throughout the 2016 primary. First, at an early debate, he refused to sign a pledge to support the Republican nominee if it wasn't him, then he signed the pledge, then he refused to honor it. Through all the flip flopping, Priebus didn't know what to make of him. Moreover, Trump called the Republican primary process "rigged" after losing delegates in state conventions where average voters didn't have a say.

Now, however, the chairman has acknowledged it's time to make friends with the bombastic businessman.

BREAKING: Sanders Wins Indiana

After an exciting comeback, Bernie Sanders has won the Indiana primary, CNN is projecting. He had 53 percent of the vote, with 63 precincts reported.

The former secretary of state has not been able to hold off Bernie Sanders and his passionate supporters for months now. 

Although he has won several contests, his superdelegate tally pales in comparison to Clinton's. Before Tuesday’s vote, Sanders ranted against the “rigged” Democratic primary process for being biased toward Clinton. 

When asked about the candidates' behavior, 27 percent of voters said Clinton had treated Sanders unfairly.

The former secretary of state may face an even more disaffected electorate in coal country, where voters have not forgotten about her pledge to put coal companies out of business. 

Exit polls suggest her struggles won't end in the general election. Only a little more than half of Indiana voters viewed her as trustworthy. 

BREAKING: Ted Cruz Is Suspending His Campaign

UPDATE II: It's official, and Cruz has suspended his campaign. "We are suspending our campaign." 

UPDATE: AP is reporting it as well.

This post will be updated as Cruz finishes his speech in Indianapolis.

BREAKING: Donald Trump Wins Indiana

Donald Trump has won the Indiana Republican primary, CNN is projecting.

Trump won all 51 delegates in the state.

This post has been updated.

LIVE: Hot Air's Ed Morrissey Previews Indiana Primary

GOP Early Exits: Indiana Is Prime Trump Territory

With the polls about to close across most of Indiana, early exits show that it’s fertile ground for Trump. According to ABC News, 60 percent want a political outsider, which isn’t bucking the trend from past primaries. Regarding illegal immigration nearly half support deportation of illegal immigrants, whereas 41 percent, on average, supported the policy. The prolonged economic torpor under the Obama administration has probably boosted voter yearning for a political outsider. In Indiana, 70 percent of voters are worried about the direction of the country, although the number for those who are angry with the government is lower than in previous contests:

Attributes: Trump’s done very well in previous primaries among those looking for a candidate who “tells it like it is” or “can bring needed change,” and more recently, those focused on electability. He’s had a hard time with those, instead, who mainly care about a candidate who shares their values. Preliminary exit poll results in Indiana point to about the typical split in the size of each group, with change and plain talk voters accounting for more than half the total.

Time of decision: Early deciders are another group to watch: Trump’s done especially well all season among voters who made up their minds more than a month ago. They account for nearly half of Indiana GOP voters in preliminary exit poll results, similar to their average in previous contests.


GOP unity: Animosity within Republican ranks is on display again. As in New York and Pennsylvania, a majority of Indiana GOP primary voters – nearly six in 10 in preliminary exit poll results – say the campaign has mostly divided the party, while only four in 10 instead think it’s “energized” it. Trump supporters are most likely to say the contest has energized the party, while those supporting Cruz are much more apt to say the party’s been divided.


Midwestern demographics: Based on preliminary exit poll results, among key GOP groups, a third are “very” conservative, six in 10 are evangelicals and a majority attends church weekly. Still, weekly churchgoing evangelicals – a better group for Cruz in the past – account for well under half of all Indiana GOP primary voters, about four in 10.

New Poll Shows Trump With Huge Lead in West Virginia

A new PPP poll out of West Virginia shows Donald Trump with a massive lead in the state over Ted Cruz and John Kasich. Trump is leading Cruz by nearly 40 points, 61 points to 22, in the latest poll. Trump is also the only Republican candidate with a positive net favorability rating.

West Virginia heads to the polls on May 10. They have 34 delegates up for grabs--22 of which are elected statewide.

PPP's new West Virginia poll finds it's likely to just keep Donald Trump's recent streak of dominant victories right on going. Trump leads in the state with 61% to 22% for Ted Cruz and 14% for John Kasich. Trump, with a 67/24 favorability rating, is the only candidate GOP voters in the state even like. Both Kasich (32/50) and Cruz (32/53) come in with negative favorability ratings. 

Adding Carly Fiorina to the ticket has done little to help Cruz. Only 12% of voters say picking her as his running ma te makes them more likely to vote for Cruz, compared to 31% who say it makes them less likely to vote for Cruz and 54% who say they just don't care one way or another. Fiorina's 40/32 favorability rating with Republican primary voters does at least make her more popular than Cruz himself.

On the Democratic side, it looks as though West Virginians are feelin' the Bern. Sanders has a 12-point lead over Clinton.

DWS: 'Of Course' Sanders Is Wrong that the Process Is Rigged

At a campaign stop on Monday, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders railed against the Democratic Party’s “rigged system” which favors the establishment candidate, Hillary Clinton.

“We have won 45 percent of pledged delegates, but only 7 percent of superdelegates,” Sanders reminded the crowd, proving the process “makes it hard for insurgent candidacies like ours to win.”

Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz responded to Sanders’ rant on Bloomberg Politics’ “With All Due Respect," arguing that the senator is mistaken.

“Bernie Sanders is wrong because we have had these rules in place since 1984,” Wasserman Schultz said. “We have two types of delegates: we have the delegates that are pledged, that … represent voters based on the outcome, and then we have party leaders and other elected officials who have been in the trenches for a long time who have a role, appropriately so, in choosing our party’s nominee.”

“Because it’s never occurred that our party’s nominee has been selected by superdelegates.”

Schultz is unlikely to convince Sanders’ supporters she and the other party officials are not biased toward a Clinton nomination. Sanders only has 39 superdelegates to Clinton’s 520, despite his winning several primary contests. In other words, he and his supporters are right to be upset.

As for Democratic voters, they have made themselves clear: Sanders has a right to remain in the race.